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Heads Or Harps

There is something quietly compelling about a horse that keeps showing up, keeps finishing in the mix, and then — eventually — makes good on the promise. Heads Or Harps is a nine-year-old who took twelve races to reach the winner's enclosure for the first time, finally breaking through at Ayr in March 2025. One win from twelve races is a modest ledger on paper, but that recent form — second, second, third, second, a blip in sixth, then the win — tells the story of a horse that had been knocking on the door for some time before it finally swung open.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Rating
110

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
12
Career races
1
Wins
8.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
23 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes that run of form genuinely interesting is the consistency of it. Five placings from the six races surrounding that win suggests this is not a horse that blows hot and cold — it is a reliable performer at its level, the kind that finishes close far more often than it finishes tailed off. At Class 4, which is the workaday middle ground of British racing, Heads Or Harps has won 1 from 10 races at that level — roughly one in every ten attempts — but has placed in six of them. That is a horse earning its keep and then some.

Derek Fox has been the regular partner, riding Heads Or Harps in eight of its twelve races and claiming that sole win together. The pair win roughly 1 in every 8 times they line up, which is a fair measure for this level, and there is clearly enough of a working relationship there to keep the booking coming. The horse is trained by the well-regarded partnership of Lucinda Russell and Michael Scudamore, operating out of Milnathort in Perth and Kinross. Their yard has sent out 47 winners already this season, which is a serious tally and a sign that horses in their care tend to be fit, well-placed, and ready to run.

Heads Or Harps last raced 23 days ago and is still active, which matters. At nine years old, some horses are winding down, but the recent form says otherwise. The team will have learned a great deal about what brings the best out of this horse — Ayr clearly suited — and with a run of places behind it and a yard in good form around it, there is every reason to think the second win is closer than the twelve races it took to get the first one.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
6 Mar
2nd
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
10 Feb
2nd
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 5 runners
27 Dec
3rd
Chepstow
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
1 Dec
2nd
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 7 runners
8 Nov
6th
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
8 Mar
🏆 Won
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 7 runners
26 Feb
2nd
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners
16 Jan
4th
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
20 Mar
DNF
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
29 Jan
4th
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Derek Fox Current Jockey
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Won / Rode
Tom Scudamore
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Luca Morgan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ayr
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 seconds 6 Mar 25%
Southwell
Galloping
2 2 other 20 Mar 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 third 27 Dec 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Jan 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Dec 0%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Oct 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 second 26 Feb 0%
Kelso
Undulating
1 1 other 8 Nov 0%