The wins have come at opposite ends of the calendar and at very different venues. The first arrived at Bath in October 2025, then Hard To Believe backed it up with another victory at Wolverhampton in March 2026 — winning 2 of its last 4 races, or exactly half of everything it has ever run. That seventh-place finish on its most recent outing is the one blot on an otherwise tidy page, but with a race just yesterday it is clearly in the thick of an active campaign and whoever runs the yard will be watching that comeback closely.
The trainer is Andrew Balding, operating out of Kingsclere in Hampshire, and this season the yard has been in exceptional form — 202 winners and counting. That is a serious number. It means Balding's horses are winning at a pace that puts him among the most productive trainers in Britain right now, and a yard firing on all cylinders like that tends to bring its younger horses through with confidence and purpose. Hard To Believe is in exactly the right hands to keep improving.
Two wins from four races at age three, trained by one of the country's busiest winning operations, and racing just yesterday — this is a horse right in the middle of its story. Whether it fulfils the early promise is still to be written, but so far the name is proving a little misleading. It is actually quite easy to believe.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
1 | 1 win | 23 Mar | 100% |
| Bath Undulating |
1 | 1 win | 9 Oct | 100% |
| Salisbury Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 12 Sep | 0% |
| York Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 14 May | 0% |