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Half A Chance

Seven years old and still searching for that elusive second win, Half A Chance has carved out a career defined more by consistency than glory. One win from 18 races — roughly 1 in every 18 — tells you this isn't a horse that dominates its field, but seven place finishes along the way suggest it keeps showing up and competing. That's not nothing.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Beat Hollow
Mother
Shivermetimber
Owner
Tlicn Syndicate
Rating
110

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
18
Career races
1
Wins
5.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Tomorrow
Cartmel
About 2.2 miles · Slightly soft ground · 3 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The sole win came at Limerick back in May 2024, and it remains the one shining moment on an otherwise modest CV. Two years have passed since that day, and nothing in the six races since has come close to repeating it — finishing 2nd, 5th, 3rd, 4th, 10th, and 4th in that stretch. The second place is encouraging, the 10th less so. What you see is a horse that is almost always in the conversation without ever quite winning it.

Mr Paddy Hanlon has been aboard for 13 of those 18 races, a real sign of trust from the yard, and together they have produced that one win — a rate of about 1 in every 13 rides together. John Joseph Hanlon trains out of Bagenalstown in County Carlow and has sent out 11 winners already this season, so the operation is in decent form even if Half A Chance hasn't been the one contributing to that tally. The horse raced just yesterday, which means it's very much active and still being campaigned with intent.

At this stage of its career, Half A Chance is the kind of horse that will always find a few interested faces in the crowd — people who remember Limerick, or who see the recent placed efforts and think today might be the day. Whether that day comes again is the question.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 7 starts (14%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 May
4th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 13 runners
5 Apr
10th
Plumpton
1m6f – 2m · Good · 14 runners
7 Feb
4th
Naas
1m6f – 2m · Soft_To_Heavy · 12 runners
20 Dec
3rd
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 12 runners
27 Nov
5th
Taunton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
1 Nov
2nd
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
5 Oct
3rd
Tipperary
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 8 runners
26 Sep
2nd
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
19 Sep
2nd
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 8 runners
3 Aug
10th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 16 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Mr Paddy Hanlon
7.7%
Win rate
1/13
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Miss M O'Sullivan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Limerick
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 29 May 33.3%
Wexford
Sharp
2 2 other 7 May 0%
Galway
Tight
2 2 other 3 Aug 0%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 third 20 Dec 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
1 1 second 19 Sep 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
1 1 other 24 Apr 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 second 26 Sep 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 3 May 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 second 1 Nov 0%
Taunton
Undulating
1 1 other 27 Nov 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Feb 0%
Plumpton
Sharp
1 1 other 5 Apr 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Jan 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 third 5 Oct 0%