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Grey Fable

There's a very particular kind of racehorse — one that saves its best for one specific place, almost as if everywhere else is just practice. Grey Fable is exactly that. This six-year-old trained by Karl Thornton at his yard in Skerries, County Dublin, has won just 2 races from 37 overall, which on paper looks modest. But look closer at where those wins came from: both at Chester, from only 6 visits to the track. That means Grey Fable has won 1 in every 3 races at Chester — an extraordinary ratio for a horse that otherwise wins roughly 1 in every 18 races everywhere else.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Starspangledbanner
Mother
Satwa Ruby
Owner
Derby Bar Syndicate
Rating
59

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
37
Career races
2
Wins
5.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
18.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Chester is an unusual circuit — tight, winding, and unforgiving for horses that don't handle its quirks — and something about it clearly suits this horse down to the ground. Both wins came in the summer of 2024, the second on 27 July, which now sits 22 months in the rear-view mirror. Since then, six races and no winner's enclosure. The most recent run, just yesterday, finished 14th, and the last six results read 14-4-6-6-5-7 — consistent enough to suggest Grey Fable is running without drama, but not finding that extra gear when it matters.

The partnership with jockey Robbie Colgan is the most striking number in the file: 0 wins from 19 races together. Nineteen rides, no victories. That's not a criticism of either horse or rider necessarily — the results simply haven't clicked — but it is the kind of stat that makes you wonder whether a change might unlock something. Thornton's yard has sent out 4 winners this season, so there's life in the operation.

Where Grey Fable does show a genuine profile is over longer distances. At 1 mile 6 furlongs to 2 miles, the horse has won 2 from 16 races — 12%, or roughly 1 in 8. That's a meaningful improvement on the overall record and suggests a horse that needs time and space to find its rhythm. Put those distance preferences together with the Chester affinity and the picture sharpens: when this horse rolls up to Chester over a staying trip in summer, you pay attention. Until then, it's ticking over, waiting for the right moment on the right patch of turf.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 9 starts (11%)
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 12% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Yet to win at Dundalk in 7 attempts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 15 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
5F – 6½F
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
18 May
14th
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 18 runners
5 May
4th
Ayr
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
10 Apr
6th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
21 Nov
6th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 16 runners
29 Oct
5th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 17 runners
17 Oct
7th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 17 runners
13 Sep
6th
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners
5 Sep
6th
Down Royal
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 17 runners
31 May
7th
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 13 runners
11 May
9th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 19 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/19
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
2/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Dylan Kidd
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
7 7 other 10 Apr 0%
Chester
Tight
6 2 wins, 2 seconds, 2 other 13 Sep 33.3%
The Curragh
Galloping
3 3 other 18 Mar 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 18 May 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 20 Jul 0%
Navan
Galloping
2 2 other 18 Oct 0%
Cork
Galloping
2 2 other 30 Aug 0%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 other 15 Sep 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 2 other 11 May 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
2 2 other 5 Sep 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Sep 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Oct 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 third 5 May 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Oct 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 5 May 0%