Fravanco

Both of those wins have come at a distance of one mile three or four furlongs, where his record reads 2 wins from 15 races. That 13% win rate — roughly 1 in every 7 or 8 races at that trip — is meaningfully better than his overall figures, which suggests he genuinely needs that middle-distance ground to show his best. His two victories came at Lingfield Park in July 2023 and Kempton Park in September 2024, both all-weather tracks, which is worth noting if you're watching him in future. His most recent win, now 19 months ago, feels like a long time, and his last six runs — showing placings of second and fifth but no win — confirm he's been knocking on the door without quite getting through it.

He is trained by Michael Madgwick, whose yard in Denmead, Hampshire, has sent out one winner so far this season. That's a modest return, and it tells you this isn't a powerhouse operation with horses flying in from all directions — it's a smaller set-up, which can sometimes mean a horse like Fravanco gets patient, personal attention rather than being one of dozens. His regular partner in the saddle is George Rooke, who has ridden him in eight of his races and won once together — a win rate of 12%, or about 1 in 8, which actually sits above Fravanco's overall average. That's a decent sign of a working partnership.

Racing at Class 6 — the grassroots level of British racing — Fravanco has won 2 of his 22 races at that grade, which is 1 in every 11. He raced just yesterday, so he's in fine fettle and clearly still active. With the right trip, the right track, and a bit of luck going his way, there's no reason he couldn't add a third win to his tally — he just needs everything to click on the same afternoon.