Francisco's Piece
Francisco's Piece is a horse still finding his feet, but his trainer Adrian Keatley is convinced he is heading in the right direction. The 4-year-old has won twice from 18 races—a win rate of roughly 1 in 9—with his most recent victory coming at Musselburgh four weeks ago. That win matters more than his overall record suggests. Keatley reckons Francisco's Piece is still physically underdeveloped, still catching up in his coat, and has plenty of maturing to do. When that happens, he believes the horse will improve significantly.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Owner
Keatley Racing Og Finneran Allen
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
33.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
What is striking about Francisco's Piece is how clearly he suits certain conditions. He is an out-and-out 6-furlong horse who thrives on soft, wet ground—the kind of surface that autumn racing brings. A firm, fast track does not suit him; his recent run over 7 furlongs at Epsom, on ground that was too quick, did not go well. His second win, at Musselburgh four weeks back, showed what he can do when conditions are right. Recent form has been patchy—he has finished second, then fifth, seventh, fifth and 15th in his last six outings—but those runs came on ground that did not play to his strengths. When autumn arrives and the rain comes, Keatley is planning to run him at the Shergar Cup and has even mentioned the possibility of testing him in bigger races like the Ayr Gold Cup. For now, Francisco's Piece remains a work in progress: a horse with genuine ability that is only beginning to show itself.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
29 Aug
2nd
Beverley
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
31 Jul
🏆 Won
Musselburgh
5f – 6½f · Good · 5 runners
9 Jun
5th
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
8 Apr
7th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
25 Oct
5th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 13 runners
10 Oct
15th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 20 runners
20 Sep
12th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Soft · 25 runners
14 Sep
13th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 25 runners
9 Aug
5th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
26 Jul
10th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| York Galloping |
3 |
1 second, 2 other |
10 Oct |
0% |
| Ascot Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
9 Aug |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
25 Oct |
0% |
| Musselburgh Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
31 Jul |
100% |
| Pontefract Undulating |
1 |
1 win |
1 May |
100% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
9 Jun |
0% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
31 Jul |
0% |
| Beverley Undulating |
1 |
1 second |
29 Aug |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
5 Oct |
0% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
14 Sep |
0% |
| Ayr Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
20 Sep |
0% |
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
6 Jun |
0% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
27 Sep |
0% |
| Catterick Bridge Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
8 Apr |
0% |