Fourofakind

Start with Perth. The Scottish track sits in a beautiful riverside setting and, for whatever reason, Fourofakind absolutely loves it. Two wins from just 3 visits is a remarkable return — that is a win rate of 67%, or roughly 2 in every 3 races there. For context, most horses win fewer than 1 in 10 races across their careers. When Fourofakind loads up for Perth, the whole calculation changes.

The other telling detail is the ground. When the rain comes and the track turns wet and heavy, this horse thrives — 2 wins from 6 races in those conditions, which is 1 in every 3 starts. That kind of wet-ground record is exactly what a trainer watches for when entries are being planned. Lizzie Quinlan, based at Bolton Mill in Cumbria, knows her horses, and her yard has already sent out 4 winners this season. Fourofakind is the type of animal that rewards patient placement.

The partnership with jockey Paul O'Brien is worth noting too. In 12 races together they have won twice — a win rate of around 1 in 6, which is noticeably better than Fourofakind's overall 1-in-9 average. That suggests O'Brien understands how to ride this horse, and the combination has real potential on the right day.

The honest truth is that Fourofakind is currently in a quiet spell — no win in its last 6 races, and a recent run of 5th, 6th, pulled up, 7th, 5th, and 9th does not set the pulse racing. The last win came at Perth back in September 2024, now 22 months ago. But horses like this are not about chasing glory every week. They are about finding the right race, the right ground, and the right track. Put Fourofakind back at Perth on a wet day with O'Brien in the saddle, and suddenly a horse with 4 wins from 37 looks like something worth watching very closely indeed.