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Follow Charlie

There's a horse that has quietly made Ayr racecourse its personal territory, and that horse is Follow Charlie. Over a career spanning 30 races, this seven-year-old has won 4 times and placed on 10 further occasions — a record that amounts to winning roughly 1 in every 8 races overall. That might not sound spectacular, but look closer at where those wins have come, and a clear story emerges. Three of the four career victories have been at Ayr alone, from 14 races there. In other words, Follow Charlie has won 3 from 14 at its home track — more than double its overall rate — while managing just 1 win from the remaining 16 races run elsewhere. That is the definition of a course specialist, and any time this horse lines up at Ayr, it is worth paying attention.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Court Cave
Mother
Lucyintheskywith
Owner
Riverside Racing
Rating
101

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
30
Career races
4
Wins
13.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Trained by R Mike Smith out of Galston in East Ayrshire — barely a stone's throw from the track it dominates — Follow Charlie has been a consistent part of a yard that has sent out 25 winners already this season. The combination of local knowledge and local geography is hard to ignore. Most often in the saddle is Ben Smith, who has partnered the horse in 16 of its 30 races and ridden 2 of its wins together, winning roughly 1 in every 8 of their shared outings. It is a familiar partnership that clearly suits the horse.

The most recent win came at Ayr on 12 November 2025 — about six months ago now — and since then Follow Charlie has gone six races without a victory. Recent form reads 6-2-4-9-4-4, which tells the story of a horse that keeps showing up near the front without quite getting its nose in front. It placed second in one of those efforts, which shows the ability is still there. These races are typically run at Class 4 level, one of the more competitive everyday tiers, where Follow Charlie has won just 1 from 17 — around 1 in every 17 at that level. The horse clearly needs things to fall right.

Follow Charlie raced just one day ago, so it is very much in the thick of its season. The form says a win is overdue. The address says Ayr is where it is most likely to come.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on heavy ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Course specialist at Ayr: 3 wins from 14 starts (21%)

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
14 May
4th
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
22 Apr
4th
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
20 Mar
9th
Musselburgh
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
6 Mar
4th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
10 Feb
2nd
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners
29 Jan
6th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 13 runners
2 Jan
4th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 11 runners
7 Dec
8th
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
12 Nov
🏆 Won
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
21 Oct
6th
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
12.5%
Win rate
2/16
Won / Rode
Nathan Moscrop Current Jockey
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Conor Rabbitt
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
William Shanahan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ayr
Galloping
14 3 wins, 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 7 other 6 Mar 21.4%
Perth
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 second, 4 other 14 May 16.7%
Carlisle
Undulating
3 1 third, 2 other 23 Mar 0%
Kelso
Undulating
2 2 other 7 Dec 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Feb 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
1 1 other 12 May 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 20 Mar 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Apr 0%
Hexham
Undulating
1 1 other 22 Nov 0%