First Folio
First Folio is a study in narrow margins and fading form. The 8-year-old has won just twice from 36 races—roughly 1 win in every 18 outings—and hasn't crossed the line first in half a year, despite racing almost constantly. He has picked up places regularly enough (10 in total), which suggests he is a reliable mid-field operator, the kind of horse that turns up every few weeks and runs respectably without quite getting there. His recent record tells the story: across his last six races, he has not finished higher than fourth, and he was last out just yesterday.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
27.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
The odd thing about First Folio is that he is a course specialist at Great Yarmouth, where he has won 2 of his 5 races—a striking 40% win rate at that track. Both victories came there, the first on 15 September 2022 and the most recent on 19 September 2024, almost two years ago. That suggests something about the place suits him: the ground, the mile distance, or the nature of the racing. Yet he cannot seem to replicate it elsewhere, and his form has gone cold. He competes typically in top-level racing, but he has won none of his 17 races in that company, which hints at his ceiling.
Julie Camacho's yard at Norton has been sending out 46 winners this season, a productive operation, but First Folio remains a tricky puzzle. His regular rider Daniel Muscutt—who has partnered him 9 times—has never managed to get him into the winner's enclosure together. The trainer has spoken in the past about his potential for longer distances and bigger handicaps, but at eight years old and winless for 23 months, time may be running out for that ambition to be realized.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 12 starts (8%)
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 12 starts (8%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Newmarket in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 11 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
15 Aug
7th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
29 Jul
4th
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
11 Jul
10th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
28 May
6th
Great Yarmouth
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
8 May
4th
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
5 Nov
6th
Kempton Park
5f – 6½f · Standard_To_Slow · 6 runners
12 Oct
7th
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Good · 8 runners
18 Sep
2nd
Great Yarmouth
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 5 runners
16 Aug
3rd
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
4 Aug
6th
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
5 |
2 wins, 1 second, 1 third, 1 other |
28 May |
40% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
5 |
5 other |
15 Aug |
0% |
| Ripon Sharp |
4 |
1 second, 1 third, 2 other |
8 May |
0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
4 |
1 third, 3 other |
5 Nov |
0% |
| York Galloping |
3 |
3 other |
11 Jul |
0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
12 May |
0% |
| Ascot Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
24 Jun |
0% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
2 |
2 other |
12 Oct |
0% |
| Windsor Sharp |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
17 Jun |
0% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
3 Jul |
0% |
| Southwell Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
2 Nov |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
29 Jul |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
26 Apr |
0% |
| Hamilton Park Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
19 Jul |
0% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
7 Oct |
0% |