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Fact Or Fable

There is something quietly brilliant about a horse that has been doing its job, week in and week out, for long enough that the team around it talks about it the way you might talk about a beloved and slightly unpredictable colleague. Fact Or Fable is a 9-year-old with 81 races under its belt, 10 wins to its name, and a reputation — according to trainer J S Moore — for winning on exactly the days nobody sees it coming.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Alhebayeb
Mother
Unreal
Trainer
Owner
Mrs Wendy Jarrett & J S Moore
Rating
46

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
81
Career races
10
Wins
12.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
39.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The numbers tell a story of consistency rather than fireworks. Ten wins and 32 places from 81 races means this horse has finished in the top three in more than half its career outings. At Class 6, the entry-level tier of British racing, it has won 10 from 77 races — roughly 1 in every 8 attempts — which sounds modest until you appreciate how difficult it is to keep winning at any level over a career this long. The last of those wins came at Bath in June 2025, so it has been six races without a victory since, but the recent form figures — a third place among them — suggest it remains competitive rather than fading.

Where Fact Or Fable really comes alive is on dry ground. On fast, dry tracks it wins roughly 1 in every 3 races (5 wins from 17), and when conditions are at their very driest that rises to 2 from 5, or 40%. That is a remarkable conversion rate and a genuinely useful piece of information — this is a horse that transforms when the sun has been out.

Liam Keniry rides it most often, with 3 wins from 21 races together — about 1 in every 7 — and the yard at Upper Lambourn has been in good form this season, sending out 17 winners. Moore describes Fact Or Fable and its half-brother Uther Pendragon as two of the yard's great characters, a pair of old campaigners who between them have earned close to £200,000 in prize-money and kept every rider on their toes. They are owned by Wendy and Stuart Jarrett, who Moore says get enormous fun from the game — and that feels like the right note on which to understand this horse. Fact Or Fable is not a headline act. It is something better: a reliable, occasionally surprising, genuinely loved participant in the sport, still turning up and still capable of catching everyone off guard.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 5 wins from 17 starts (29%)
Excellent record on firm ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
Course specialist at Chepstow: 4 wins from 21 starts (19%)
Course specialist at Bath: 3 wins from 18 starts (17%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 13 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Yet to win at Southwell in 6 attempts
Yet to win at Lingfield Park in 6 attempts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Firm (dry)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Ok
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
Ok
5F – 6½F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, hilly
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
29 Apr
6th
Bath
1m1f – 1m2f · Firm · 10 runners
17 Apr
6th
Bath
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
30 Oct
8th
Bath
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 14 runners
20 Oct
4th
Bath
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 12 runners
30 Sep
8th
Bath
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
13 Sep
3rd
Bath
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
25 Aug
9th
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 17 runners
14 Aug
5th
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
25 Jul
3rd
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 15 runners
16 Jul
4th
Bath
1m1f – 1m2f · Firm · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
14.3%
Win rate
3/21
Won / Rode
Millie Wonnacott
15.4%
Win rate
2/13
Won / Rode
30%
Win rate
3/10
Won / Rode
Ashley Lewis Current Jockey
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Sophie Jones
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Rose Dawes
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr Jack Nicholls
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Chepstow
Galloping
21 4 wins, 4 seconds, 2 thirds, 11 other 25 Aug 19.0%
Bath
Undulating
18 3 wins, 2 thirds, 13 other 29 Apr 16.7%
Kempton Park
Galloping
15 2 wins, 1 second, 2 thirds, 10 other 12 Feb 13.3%
Southwell
Galloping
6 1 second, 1 third, 4 other 4 Jan 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
6 3 thirds, 3 other 16 Feb 0%
Brighton
Undulating
4 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 2 Jun 25%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 26 Dec 0%
chelmsford 2 1 third, 1 other 10 Feb 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
2 2 seconds 30 Jul 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
2 2 other 5 May 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 20 Sep 0%