:

Escapeandevade

Escapeandevade is a horse that rewards patience — and wet weather. The ten-year-old has built a solid career record of 5 wins and 15 places from 24 races, which means he has finished in the frame in more than eight out of every ten outings. That is the profile of a horse that turns up, tries hard, and usually makes his rivals work for it.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
10 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Westerner
Mother
Sandrinechoix
Owner
Jonathan Gregory
Rating
133

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
24
Career races
5
Wins
20.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
62.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The clearest pattern in his record is what happens when the rain arrives. On wet or muddy ground, he has won 4 of his 12 races — that is 1 in every 3, a noticeably sharper rate than his overall figures. His trainer Harry Derham, who operates out of Upper Lambourn and has sent out 57 winners already this season, flagged this openly after one of his second-place finishes: he said the horse would be better again when the ground got softer, and pointed straight back to Haydock for a race in January. That kind of specific targeting tells you the yard knows exactly what they have here. Sure enough, Escapeandevade went back and won at Haydock in December 2025 — his most recent victory, just four months ago.

He also has a particular affinity with Ayr, where he has won 2 of his 3 races. His very first career win came there in January 2022, and he has gone back and done it again since. Winning two-thirds of your races at any track is unusual; it suggests something about the course — the way it rides, the shape of it — just suits how this horse moves and jumps.

Much of his best work has been done in partnership with jockey Brian Hughes. The two have raced together 11 times and won on 3 of those occasions — roughly 1 in every 3.5 races — which is meaningfully better than his overall win rate of roughly 1 in every 5. A previous trainer, James Ewart, was candid about why Hughes matters: the horse is described as awkward, a "Westerner" in temperament, and getting everything right on the day requires someone who understands him. That kind of trust between horse and rider is hard to build and easy to underestimate.

His recent form — a win in December followed by two runner-up finishes — tells you he is still competitive at ten. He raced just yesterday, which means there is every chance another chapter is already being written.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 4 wins from 12 starts (33%)
Excellent record on heavy ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Yet to win at Wetherby in 5 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Ok
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
30 Apr
12th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 20 runners
21 Mar
2nd
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 5 runners
31 Jan
DNF
Sandown Park
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 11 runners
17 Jan
2nd
Haydock Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
20 Dec
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
22 Nov
2nd
Haydock Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
22 Oct
2nd
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
22 Mar
2nd
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
14 Feb
2nd
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 3 runners
18 Jan
6th
Haydock Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 7 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
27.3%
Win rate
3/11
Won / Rode
Paul O'Brien Current Jockey
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
5 1 win, 2 seconds, 2 other 17 Jan 20%
Kelso
Undulating
5 1 win, 4 seconds 22 Mar 20%
Wetherby
Galloping
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 16 Nov 0%
Ayr
Galloping
3 2 wins, 1 other 2 Jan 66.7%
Sedgefield
Sharp
1 1 win 26 Jan 100%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 second 21 Mar 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 31 Jan 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Apr 0%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 second 22 Oct 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 6 Feb 0%