Coyy

The shape of his recent form tells an interesting story. After winning at Nottingham five weeks ago, Coyy has had a tougher run of it — fourth, then eleventh, then back to first place just last week, followed by fourth and seventh. He's still in the action week to week, which suggests Eve Johnson Houghton's Blewbury yard is finding races where he can compete, and that he bounces back quickly enough to keep racing. His jockey Charles Bishop has ridden him seven times and won once, which is broadly in line with Coyy's overall win rate of roughly 1 in every 7 races.

The real key to this horse lies in ground conditions. On fast, dry ground, Coyy turns into a different animal: he has won 2 of his 5 races on those surfaces, a 40 per cent win rate that stands out sharply against his overall record. Wet or muddy ground seems to dull his edge, which is useful information for anyone following him. He has also struggled at the highest class of races — 0 wins from 3 attempts in top-level competition — so expect his wins to come further down the card, where the field is more vulnerable. Put him on firm ground in a race within his range and Coyy looks like an interesting prospect.