That yard is P J Rothwell's operation at Tinahely in Co Wicklow, and the numbers suggest real competence. Rothwell has sent out 35 winners already this season, which is a serious training record and indicates the team knows how to prepare horses to win. The pedigree — by Jet Away out of a Heron Island mare — reads as solid rather than spectacular, the kind of breeding that produces consistent racers rather than superstars. At five years old, Confidence Within is older than typical debut runners, which leaves room for speculation about why it has taken this long to reach the track, but the fact remains: we know nothing about how it will perform. Everything depends on what happens when the gates open.