Chanceawetmorning

The last six races tell you everything you need to know about where Chanceawetmorning is right now: two wins, a second, and only one run that could be called disappointing. That is a horse in form, plain and simple. The first win came at Kilbeggan in late April 2026, and then just three weeks later, a follow-up victory at Clonmel — this week, in fact, with the horse having raced as recently as yesterday. When a horse wins and comes back out almost immediately, it tells you the team believes it is well, fresh, and ready to go again. Gordon Elliott's yard clearly has this one in a good place.

Elliott himself is operating at a level that is hard to overstate. His operation at Longwood in County Meath has sent out 210 winners already this season — that is not a yard, that is a machine. Having a horse in his care that is winning back-to-back races means something, because Elliott does not run horses for the sake of it.

Perhaps the most telling detail of all is what Chanceawetmorning does when the ground gets soft and wet underfoot. In those conditions, it has won 2 of just 4 races — a 50% win rate, meaning it wins one in every two times it runs on wet ground. That is a remarkable conversion rate and suggests this is a horse with a very specific set of conditions it thrives in. Find it a muddy track on a grey Irish afternoon, and you are looking at a genuine chance. Keep that in mind, because the weather is not always predictable — but this horse's preference very much is.