Carnival Day
Carnival Day is a 5-year-old who has spent his racing career hovering just above the level of consistent success without quite finding his stride. In 24 races he has won three times and finished in the places on 10 other occasions—a win rate of roughly 1 in every 8 races—but there is a troubling pattern underneath those bare numbers: his last win came 13 months ago at Epsom Downs on 31 July 2025, and he has not found the winner's circle in his last six outings. His recent form shows him placing more often than winning—a 3-5-4-7-3-4 line across his last half-dozen runs—which suggests he is competitive enough to run well but struggling to turn proximity into victory.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
41.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
The horse first broke through at Brighton on 9 September 2024 and has mostly campaigned in Class 4 company, though his record there is sobering: just 1 win from 12 races, a success rate of under 1 in 10. Jim Boyle's yard at Epsom has had a productive season by its own standards with 25 winners sent out, but Carnival Day has not been among the reliable performers. Pat Cosgrave, his most frequent rider, has steered him in seven races and found the winner just once—a 14% win rate with the horse that barely exceeds what Carnival Day manages overall. Raced as recently as a day ago, the horse remains active, but the long drought since last summer will need to end soon if he is to prove he still has winners left in him.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Likes
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Aug
3rd
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 9 runners
12 Aug
5th
Salisbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
16 Jul
4th
Epsom Downs
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
12 Jun
7th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 17 runners
28 Apr
3rd
Epsom Downs
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
28 Oct
4th
Leicester
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 10 runners
28 Sep
2nd
Epsom Downs
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
12 Sep
6th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 15 runners
29 Aug
4th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 13 runners
25 Aug
3rd
Epsom Downs
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 8 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| Sandown Park Galloping |
6 |
1 win, 1 third, 4 other |
28 Aug |
16.7% |
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
6 |
1 win, 1 second, 2 thirds, 2 other |
16 Jul |
16.7% |
| Brighton Undulating |
2 |
1 win, 1 third |
12 Apr |
50% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
10 Feb |
0% |
| Bath Undulating |
1 |
1 second |
21 Oct |
0% |
| Ripon Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
20 Jun |
0% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
10 Jun |
0% |
| Windsor Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
19 May |
0% |
| chelmsford |
1 |
1 other |
11 Nov |
0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
24 Jul |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
28 Oct |
0% |
| Salisbury Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
12 Aug |
0% |