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California Dreamer

There's a horse quietly building a reputation at one particular track, and it's worth paying attention. California Dreamer is a 4-year-old trained by Robson De Aguiar out of Mullingar in County Westmeath, and while the overall career record — 2 wins and 7 places from 18 races, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 9 — might not leap off the page, the detail buried in those numbers is genuinely interesting.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Mehmas
Mother
Penelopa
Owner
AMO Racing Limited & Giselle De Aguiar
Rating
103

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
18
Career races
2
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Sun 24 May
Curragh
About 1.3 miles · Unknown · 38 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That detail is Dundalk. On that one track, California Dreamer has won 2 from 3 races. That's a 67% win rate at a single venue, which in racing terms is extraordinary. Most horses are happy to win anywhere at all; this one has practically made Dundalk a second home. The first win came there in February 2025, and the most recent in March 2026 — just two months ago, so this is a horse in active, current form.

The ground matters too. On normal conditions, California Dreamer has won 2 of just 3 races — again, that two-from-three record tells you this horse is very much in its element when the track isn't too wet or too fast. The preferred distance is also fairly specific: one mile and one furlong to one mile and two furlongs, where it has won 2 of 7 races, a 29% win rate. That's not a horse that's been scattered around aimlessly — it's found its conditions and is thriving in them.

The most striking piece of context, though, comes from the trainer himself. De Aguiar has spoken about California Dreamer finishing second in the Irish 1,000 Guineas — one of the most prestigious races on the Irish flat calendar — behind a horse called Lake Victoria. Getting placed in a race of that calibre suggests this isn't just a track specialist picking up minor wins; there's genuine ability here. De Aguiar noted she handled the mile trip well and came on from a previous run at the same track, which hints at a horse that improves with each outing rather than flattening out.

The one curiosity is jockey David Egan, who has ridden her 12 times without a win. That's a partnership that hasn't clicked on paper, even as the horse has clearly found form elsewhere. With 11 winners already sent out by the yard this season, De Aguiar's operation is in good shape — and California Dreamer, quietly owning Dundalk and mixing it with the best in Ireland, looks like one of its more interesting stories.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 29% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
Yet to win at The Curragh in 7 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 10 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
5F – 6½F
Avoids
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 May
4th
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
3 Apr
9th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 10 runners
6 Mar
🏆 Won
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 6 runners
13 Sep
11th
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Yielding · 11 runners
24 Aug
10th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
20 Jul
7th
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good_To_Yielding · 11 runners
21 Jun
12th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
25 May
2nd
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
5 May
4th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
12 Apr
12th
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good · 16 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/12
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
7 2 seconds, 1 third, 4 other 3 Apr 0%
Dundalk
Galloping
3 2 wins, 1 second 6 Mar 66.7%
Naas
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 24 Aug 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 2 other 10 May 0%
Ascot
Galloping
2 2 other 21 Jun 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Apr 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Oct 0%