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Cajetan

There is a horse in Ruth Carr's yard at Stillington, North Yorkshire, that her team clearly believes in — and the numbers at one particular track back them up. Cajetan is a five-year-old with three wins and five places from 23 races, which works out at roughly 1 win in every 8 races overall. That is a modest return on paper, but the headline figure hides something more interesting: at Newcastle specifically, this horse has won 2 of its 5 races, a 40% win rate that puts it firmly in the category of a genuine course specialist. For context, most horses win somewhere between 10 and 15% of the time. Doubling that at one venue is not luck — it is a pattern worth paying attention to.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Advertise
Mother
South Bay
Trainer
Owner
Rjh Ltd And Facts & Figures
Rating
77

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
23
Career races
3
Wins
13.0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
21.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Cajetan opened its account at Newcastle in March 2024 and returned to the same track in December to win again. That second win, on the all-weather surface in winter conditions, fits neatly with what Carr said on a stable tour last October: the horse had gone two from two on the all-weather in spring, winning at Newcastle and Kempton, before a difficult summer interrupted its season. When Carr describes a horse as her trainer's pick for the months ahead and points it deliberately towards the all-weather circuit, that is not throwaway praise — a yard that has sent out 63 winners this season knows what its horses are capable of.

The recent form reads 18-4-10-10-10-3, meaning Cajetan has not won in its last six races, and that December victory is now 17 months in the rearview mirror. Some of those efforts have been respectable — a third-place finish is in there — but the horse has clearly not recaptured the sharpness of its best days yet. Normal ground suits it well, with 2 wins from 10 races on a standard surface, and it tends to be competitive at Class 4 level, winning 3 of its 9 races at that grade, which is 1 in every 3 — a genuinely strong return for that tier. Jockey Edward Greatrex has ridden it in five of those races, winning once, and the partnership looks set to continue. The question is whether the combination of a sympathetic track, familiar ground, and a trainer who clearly has faith in it can unlock another Newcastle moment.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 10 starts (20%)
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
9 May
18th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 19 runners
13 Apr
4th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
2 Apr
10th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
12 Mar
10th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
20 Feb
10th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
3 Feb
3rd
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 7 runners
12 Jun
15th
Newbury
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
31 May
9th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 17 runners
18 Apr
10th
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
29 Mar
6th
Kempton Park
5f – 6½f · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
5 2 wins, 3 other 13 Apr 40%
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 29 Mar 33.3%
Ascot
Galloping
3 3 other 9 May 0%
Southwell
Galloping
3 3 other 2 Apr 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 2 other 18 Apr 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 other 10 Aug 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Apr 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 31 May 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 third 3 Feb 0%