:

Caelan

There is something quietly stubborn about a horse that keeps placing without winning — and at five years old, Caelan is very much in that category right now. With 3 wins and 8 places from 21 races, it wins roughly 1 in every 7 outings, a modest return on the surface. But look at those 8 places and you see a horse that is nearly always involved, even when the win does not come. The recent run of form — two seconds, a third, and a fourth among the last six races — tells you it is not falling apart. It is just finding one too good.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Tamayuz
Mother
Fou Rire
Owner
Fitorfat Racing & Partner
Rating
109

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
21
Career races
3
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Caelan's strongest suit is distance. Over two miles or more, it wins 1 in every 4 races — a notably better record than its overall numbers suggest. That 25% win rate at long distances is the kind of figure that makes sense when you watch a horse race: some horses find their rhythm when they are allowed to settle and grind, rather than sprint. Caelan appears to be one of them, and the yard would do well to keep it at that trip.

The most recent win came at Worcester in September 2025, so it has now gone eight months without a victory. That is a stretch, but it needs to be read in context. Caelan has been filling places throughout that run, not trailing in last. A horse that finishes second or third is a horse that is still competing at the right level — it just needs things to fall right.

Behind the scenes, Caelan is trained by Olly Murphy at his yard in Wilmcote, Warwickshire. Murphy is one of the more prolific trainers in Britain right now — 146 winners sent out this season alone, which works out to nearly three a week. That is the kind of operation that knows how to place a horse well and spot when conditions suit. Caelan typically races at Class 4 level, the middle tier of the sport, winning 2 from 11 at that grade — roughly 1 in 5. Not eye-catching, but consistent enough to suggest it belongs there.

Raced just yesterday and still active, Caelan is clearly not being wrapped in cotton wool. For a horse at this stage of its career, kept busy and kept competitive, the next win feels like a matter of when rather than if.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
15 May
4th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
21 Apr
2nd
Ffos Las
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
22 Dec
3rd
Huntingdon
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
5 Dec
6th
Sandown Park
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 11 runners
11 Nov
2nd
Huntingdon
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
15 Oct
5th
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
15 Sep
🏆 Won
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
6 Sep
5th
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners
25 Jul
4th
Uttoxeter
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners
24 Apr
7th
chelmsford
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Sean Bowen Current Jockey
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Stefano Cherchi
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Tom Hutsby(10)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Luke Catton
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 24 Mar 25%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 18 May 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 third 22 Dec 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 2 other 4 Mar 0%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 win 15 Sep 100%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 win 14 Aug 100%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 24 Mar 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 24 Apr 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 second 21 Apr 0%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 other 15 May 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 7 Feb 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Dec 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Oct 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Jul 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Sep 0%