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Bubbles Wonky

There's a horse running out of Mark Pattinson's yard in Epsom who keeps teasing you with what he might be. Bubbles Wonky is a 5-year-old with 2 wins and 7 places from 22 races — that's a win rate of around 1 in every 11 races, which is modest on paper. But the story is a little more interesting than the numbers suggest.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Lope De Vega
Mother
Belle Josephine
Owner
Only One Bid Partnership
Rating
74

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
22
Career races
2
Wins
9.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
31.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His first win came at Catterick Bridge in October 2023, and jockey Sean Kirrane was quietly impressed afterwards, noting the horse has genuine talent, travels well, and quickens sharply when asked. There's also a family connection worth knowing: his older half-brother Mahanakhon was trained by someone with experience of the same bloodline, and the similarities between the two are said to be striking. That kind of background matters, because it suggests the potential has always been there — it's just been a question of finding the right conditions to unlock it.

That unlocking moment seemed to arrive at Hamilton Park on 5 June 2025, when David Allan — his most regular rider — described a race that sounded almost effortless. Wide draw, quick feet to get a good position, ears pricked in front while he was being settled, then tanking down the hill and quickening immediately when asked. Allan's verdict afterwards was telling: they're still figuring this horse out, and the realisation that he might want further than they originally thought could open new doors. The trainer had already flagged a mile as the likely sweet spot, and that's backed up by the numbers — at seven furlongs to a mile, Bubbles Wonky wins 1 in every 6 races, which is a meaningfully better return than his overall record.

The puzzle is that his recent form reads 3-3-4-7-9, and he hasn't won in his last six races. He's also yet to win at Class 3, the level he most often competes at — 0 from 6 at that grade. That gap between the Hamilton performance and what's followed is the central question around him right now. Pattinson's yard has sent out 5 winners this season, so the operation is in decent form. Whether Bubbles Wonky can add to that tally depends on whether the Hamilton version of this horse shows up again — and given what Allan described that day, you'd want to keep him on your radar.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 17% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
20 May
3rd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
4 May
3rd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 8 runners
12 Mar
4th
chelmsford
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 8 runners
27 Feb
DNF
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 14 runners
15 Jan
7th
chelmsford
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 10 runners
17 Oct
9th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
29 Sep
2nd
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 7 runners
11 Sep
11th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
12 Aug
6th
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 7 runners
24 Jul
5th
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 13 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
10%
Win rate
1/10
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Daniel Muscutt Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Hamilton Park
Sharp
6 1 win, 2 seconds, 3 other 29 Sep 16.7%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 second 13 May 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Sep 0%
Redcar
Galloping
2 2 other 21 Jul 0%
chelmsford 2 2 other 12 Mar 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 2 thirds 20 May 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 14 Jun 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 1 Jun 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 1 Jul 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 27 Feb 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Oct 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 24 Jul 0%