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Broken Ice

There is something quietly admirable about a horse who keeps turning up. Broken Ice, a 10-year-old trained by John C McConnell out of Stamullen in County Meath, has raced 43 times and won just twice — that is a win rate of roughly 1 in every 22 races, which on paper sounds modest. But the story is more interesting than the numbers suggest. He has placed 13 times on top of those two wins, meaning he has finished in the frame in more than a third of his career races. This is not a horse who falls apart when things get hard. He simply keeps knocking.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
10 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Born To Sea
Mother
Ice Box
Owner
John C McConnell
Rating
99

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
43
Career races
2
Wins
4.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
30.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His first win came at Sligo in September 2022, and it was clearly a long time coming. The trainer at the time, Gavin Cromwell, said afterwards that Broken Ice had been "banging on the door" — that rare phrase trainers use when a horse has been good enough to win for a while but kept just missing out. Cromwell also flagged that he stays well over distance and might actually prefer wet, muddy ground, which is a useful trait in the Irish winter.

His most recent win came at Perth in August 2025, and his current form makes for interesting reading: his last six runs show a win, followed by three consecutive fourth-place finishes, then a blank, and a result still to be updated from just yesterday. That cluster of fourths is the Broken Ice signature — close enough to matter, not quite close enough to win. The regular partnership with jockey Keith Donoghue has produced 1 win from 12 races together, roughly 1 in 12, which mirrors the horse's overall pattern of honest rather than spectacular.

What gives this profile a forward-looking edge is the yard behind him. John C McConnell's team at Stamullen has sent out 38 winners this season, which is a stable in genuinely good form. A horse with Broken Ice's consistency — placing in such a high proportion of his races — is exactly the kind of animal that benefits when everything around him is clicking. He has raced just yesterday and is clearly still active and still wanted. At 10, he is not a young horse, but he is a proven one, and in the right conditions on a good day, he has already shown he knows exactly what the winning post is for.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 13 starts (8%)
Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 7 starts (14%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on yielding_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Yielding to soft (damp)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 May
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
3 Mar
4th
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
1 Oct
4th
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 11 runners
4 Sep
4th
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
16 Aug
🏆 Won
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
25 Jul
5th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
13 Jul
7th
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 15 runners
10 Jun
6th
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 15 runners
11 Apr
DNF
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
25 Feb
DNF
Catterick Bridge
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
8.3%
Win rate
1/12
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
Patrick M O'Brien
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Dylan Kidd Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
J B Kane
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr Finn Buckley
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Miss M O'Sullivan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Conor Maxwell
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Martin Fox
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Sligo
Sharp
8 1 win, 2 seconds, 5 other 1 Oct 12.5%
Punchestown
Galloping
3 3 other 2 May 0%
Tramore
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 21 Apr 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
3 1 second, 2 other 25 Jul 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 24 Nov 0%
Limerick
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 23 May 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 8 Jul 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 2 other 29 Dec 0%
Sedgefield
Sharp
2 2 other 4 Sep 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 14 Apr 0%
Listowel
Sharp
2 2 other 23 Sep 0%
Navan
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 7 Nov 0%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 win 16 Aug 100%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Mar 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 second 15 May 0%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 other 7 Aug 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Nov 0%
Cartmel
Tight
1 1 other 2 Jul 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Jul 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Feb 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Oct 0%