Boubyan

The clearest pattern is distance. When stepped up to the longer distances between 1 mile 3 furlongs and 1 mile 4 furlongs, Boubyan has won 1 of its 5 races at that trip — a 20 percent win rate that stands out sharply against its overall 8 percent. The horse's last winning performance came at Newcastle on 5 March 2026, six months ago now, which suggests it has hit a dry spell recently. In the last six races, there have been two minor placings but no wins, a run that would test any horse's morale.

The trainer Michael Appleby, based at Oakham in Rutland, is running a prolific yard with 71 winners this season, so Boubyan sits among plenty of other opportunities for the stable. Hollie Doyle, one of Britain's leading jockeys, has partnered the horse seven times, winning once — a better win rate of roughly 1 in 7 with her than the overall numbers suggest, though a small sample size prevents drawing firm conclusions. The horse races most often at Class 5 level, the lower tier of British racing, where it has managed 2 wins from 8 races — a 25 percent rate that hints the horse may be pitched at roughly the right level.

Boubyan raced just a day ago and is still in active work. It is a horse searching for another win after a quiet half-year, and the data suggests its best chance comes on the longer side at tracks that suit it, provided the yard can find the right race.