Believitanducan
Believitanducan has the look of a horse that thrives when conditions work in its favour. The 5-year-old has won 7 of its 20 races—roughly one win every three outings—and in that win rate sits a story about ground and class. Put it on wet or muddy ground and something clicks: the horse has won 3 of 5 races on those surfaces, a 60% win rate that stands out sharply against its overall record. On normal ground it is even more devastating, winning 2 of 3 races, which suggests the horse is genuinely effective across the spectrum as long as conditions aren't rock-hard. At Class 3 level—mid-tier racing—Believitanducan is a different proposition entirely, winning half its races at that grade.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
70%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
Recent form underlines why it remains a live prospect. In its last six outings it has won three times, with only one run outside the placings. The horse was last in the winner's enclosure six weeks ago at Newcastle on June 27, and came back just two days ago to race again, which shows it is sound and in regular work. Trained by Alan King at Wroughton in Wiltshire, Believitanducan was originally bought as a dual-purpose prospect—one that could excel on the flat and jump fences. King, whose yard has sent out 57 winners already this season, was sufficiently impressed with its schooling over jumps to consider it a candidate for later in the season. The trainer noted after a win at Newbury that the horse jumped its fences well from the start, and that proved prescient. Earlier, when racing on the flat for a previous trainer, Believitanducan showed real toughness and consistency, with Jessica Macey noting its genuine, durable temperament. For a horse that has now found a home with Alan King and the Owners Group, conditions that suit it—soft ground and middle-tier company—could still yield plenty of winners.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 3 wins from 5 starts (60%)
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
✔ Strong overall win rate: wins 35% of races
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Likes
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Likes
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Aug
3rd
Kempton Park
1m6f – 2m · 12 runners
27 Jun
🏆 Won
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard_To_Slow · 20 runners
30 May
🏆 Won
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 11 runners
8 May
🏆 Won
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good · 13 runners
7 Feb
3rd
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 8 runners
6 Feb
DNF
Sandown Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 18 runners
26 Dec
6th
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
1 Dec
🏆 Won
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
6 Nov
2nd
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
21 Apr
2nd
Kempton Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard_To_Slow · 10 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Luke Catton Current Jockey
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| Newcastle Galloping |
3 |
1 win, 2 other |
27 Jun |
33.3% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
3 |
1 second, 1 third, 1 other |
10 Aug |
0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
2 |
1 win, 1 second |
6 Nov |
50% |
| Stratford-on-Avon Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
10 Mar |
100% |
| Plumpton Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
1 Dec |
100% |
| Beverley Undulating |
1 |
1 win |
16 Jul |
100% |
| Chester Tight |
1 |
1 win |
30 May |
100% |
| Ascot Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
8 May |
100% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
18 Oct |
0% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
3 Jul |
0% |
| Sandown Park Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
6 Feb |
0% |
| Warwick Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
7 Feb |
0% |
| Wetherby Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
28 Apr |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
20 May |
0% |
| Cheltenham Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
25 Jan |
0% |