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Believitanducan

There is a quiet confidence about a horse that keeps showing up and delivering, and Believitanducan is exactly that kind of animal. The five-year-old has won 5 races from 17 outings — roughly 1 in every 3 — and placed in 11 of them, meaning it has come away with something to show for its effort in nearly every race it has entered. That is the profile of a genuine, consistent performer.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Make Believe
Mother
Shirin Of Persia
Trainer
Owner
Owners Group 140
Rating
73

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
17
Career races
5
Wins
29.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
64.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes Believitanducan particularly compelling is how emphatically it thrives in certain conditions. On wet or muddy ground, it has won 3 of 5 races — a 60% hit rate that puts it in a different league to its performance on drier surfaces. Trainer Jessica Macey flagged this early: when the horse finally broke through at Beverley in July 2024, she called it out specifically, noting it loved the two miles, the cut in the ground, and the light weight. "He was really tough, he's so genuine," she said — the kind of quote that tells you more than any statistic. Alan King, who now trains the horse at his yard in Wroughton, had spotted the same qualities before the season began, noting it could handle soft ground and get a trip, and earmarked it for bigger things.

Those bigger things have arrived. Believitanducan has won 4 of its 9 races over long distances of two miles or more — nearly 1 in every 2 — and that stamina is clearly its strongest suit. It competes mainly at Class 3 level, one rung below the top tier, where it has won 4 from 8, a flat 50% record that is quietly remarkable. Half of all Class 3 races entered, won. That is not a fluke.

The horse raced just yesterday, and the most recent win came this week at Ascot — one of the most recognisable tracks in the country. Alan King's yard has been in strong form all season, sending out 58 winners, and Believitanducan is clearly a part of that momentum. With recent form reading 1-3-win-6-1-2, it is in the thick of things right now. A horse that loves a wet day, stays all day, and wins half its races at Class 3 level? When the forecast turns grey, this is one to watch.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 3 wins from 5 starts (60%)
Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 44% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 9 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 May
🏆 Won
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good · 13 runners
7 Feb
3rd
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 8 runners
6 Feb
DNF
Sandown Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 18 runners
26 Dec
6th
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
1 Dec
🏆 Won
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
6 Nov
2nd
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
21 Apr
2nd
Kempton Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard_To_Slow · 10 runners
10 Mar
🏆 Won
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
25 Jan
6th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
18 Dec
🏆 Won
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
Philip Armson
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newbury
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 6 Nov 50%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 26 Dec 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 2 other 17 Nov 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 win 16 Jul 100%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 win 10 Mar 100%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 win 8 May 100%
Plumpton
Sharp
1 1 win 1 Dec 100%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Oct 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 second 3 Jul 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 third 28 Apr 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Feb 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 second 20 May 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 third 7 Feb 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Jan 0%