Bay Of Supremacy

The recent form tells an interesting story. Reading the last six runs from most recent backwards — 5th, 1st, 3rd, 3rd, 1st, 18th — you can see a horse that had one very bad day, steadied itself, and has since found a rhythm. Two wins in the last six races, with the most recent coming at Bellewstown just six weeks ago, suggests a horse in decent nick right now. The earlier victory came at Naas back in September 2025, so Bay Of Supremacy has managed to win at two different tracks — always a good sign that a horse's ability is genuine rather than the result of one lucky day on a familiar patch.

The most striking detail in the record is what happens when it rains. On wet or muddy ground, Bay Of Supremacy has won 2 of 4 races — a 50% win rate, meaning it wins every other race in those conditions. That is a genuinely remarkable number. Most horses win somewhere between 10 and 20 percent of their races over a career; winning half your races on a specific surface points to something real. the yard will be watching the weather forecast closely.

Behind the horse is trainer J P Murtagh, operating out of Coolaghknock Glebe in County Kildare. Murtagh's yard has already sent out 54 winners this season, which speaks to an operation running at serious pace. Having a busy, successful trainer in your corner matters — horses in well-run yards tend to be placed in the right races, kept fresh, and given every chance to win. Bay Of Supremacy, raced just yesterday and clearly kept active, looks like a horse being managed with purpose rather than patience.