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Baltray

Baltray came to Emma Lavelle's Ogbourne Maizey yard from Ireland as an unfinished prospect, needing time to settle and fill out before he could run. When he finally stepped out over hurdles at Fontwell, he showed enough promise to suggest he had a future in the sport. That promise turned real on 6 November 2023 at Hereford, where he won comfortably — his only victory in a career that has now stretched across 17 races.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Milan
Mother
Shapley Shadow
Owner
Mrs Sarah Metcalfe
Rating
102

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
17
Career races
1
Wins
5.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
41.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Nearly three years have passed since that win, and Baltray has not recaptured the form of that day. He has been placed seven times in his remaining 16 races, which speaks to a horse who can run a respectable race but struggles to get his head in front. His recent form tells a familiar story: a fourth last time out, a ninth before that, a sixth, a third, and two fifths. He was back in action just yesterday, which shows he is still being campaigned and still capable of fighting it out in races. When he does compete at Class 4 level — the standard fare for horses at his level — he wins roughly 1 in every 11 races, a figure that underlines just how hard it is for him to close out a victory.

Lavelle has noted that Baltray prefers softer ground, the kind you get in winter when the track is heavy and wet. She also sees him as a future chaser, a horse built for jumping fences rather than hurdles. For now, he remains a hurdler grinding away on the circuit, a reliable if modest performer who proved once that he could win — and who may well do so again on a day when conditions suit him and the luck falls his way.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 10 starts (10%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 10 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Aug
4th
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
24 Jul
9th
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
3 Jun
6th
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
6 May
3rd
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
9 Mar
5th
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
9 Mar
5th
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
10 Nov
DNF
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
6 Oct
2nd
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
1 Jul
6th
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
5 Jun
3rd
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
Cameron Johnstone-Baker
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Ben Jones Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr D Allen
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Joe Anderson
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Fontwell Park
Tight
4 2 seconds, 2 other 28 Aug 0%
Plumpton
Sharp
3 3 other 9 Mar 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 24 Jul 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 6 Oct 0%
hereford 1 1 win 6 Nov 100%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 other 29 Oct 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Nov 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 third 28 Dec 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 other 3 Jun 0%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
1 1 third 6 May 0%