:

Baltic Bird

There is something quietly admirable about a horse that keeps turning up. Baltic Bird is a seven-year-old with four wins and eleven places from 31 races — a win rate of around 13%, or roughly 1 in every 8 races — and while that might not sound like a horse setting the world alight, the story is a little more interesting than the numbers suggest.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Frankel
Mother
Baltic Baroness
Owner
William Durkan
Rating
123

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
31
Career races
4
Wins
12.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Mon 25 May
Ballinrobe
About 3 miles · Slightly soft ground · 23 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Trained by William Durkan out of Sandyford in County Dublin — a yard that has already sent out 13 winners this season — Baltic Bird opened its account at Great Yarmouth back in May 2022 and has kept competitive ever since. The most recent win came at Down Royal in May 2025, which means it has gone six races without finding the winner's enclosure since, though it has been racing as recently as yesterday, so this is very much a horse still in active service.

The clearest pattern in the form book is how much Baltic Bird benefits from normal conditions underfoot. On standard ground, it has won 3 from 12 races — a 25% win rate, or 1 in 4 — which is a genuinely strong record and suggests a horse that finds its best running when conditions are neither muddy nor rock-hard. Over a distance of a mile and three to a mile and four furlongs, it has won 1 from 3 races, a 33% win rate, which points to a horse that stays well and might be best when there is a proper test of stamina.

Patrick M O'Brien has been the most regular partner, winning once from six rides together — about 1 in 6 — and that ongoing relationship with a consistent jockey often matters more than the bare numbers imply. Recent form reads 3-7-3-5-11-6, which is patchy, but there are placings in there that suggest Baltic Bird is not far off finding a race. The question is whether the right conditions — normal ground, a mile and a half-ish, on a track that suits — will all align at once. Given it is only a day off its last run and still racing actively at seven, Baltic Bird looks like exactly the kind of tough, durable horse that a well-organised small yard relies on to keep the tally ticking over.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 3 wins from 12 starts (25%)
Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts
Struggles on RH Tight tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 May
3rd
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 10 runners
25 Oct
7th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
2 Oct
3rd
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
26 Aug
5th
Bellewstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
2 Aug
11th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 22 runners
9 Jul
6th
Fairyhouse
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
8 Jun
4th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 5 runners
5 May
🏆 Won
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
11 Apr
3rd
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
16 Oct
7th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Patrick M O'Brien
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Richard Condon
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Down Royal
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 5 May 33.3%
Punchestown
Galloping
3 3 other 8 Jun 0%
Galway
Tight
3 1 second, 2 other 2 Aug 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
3 3 other 9 Jul 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
3 3 other 26 Aug 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 third 11 Apr 50%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
2 1 second, 1 other 17 Jun 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 win 7 Aug 100%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 win 26 May 100%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Oct 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Oct 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 third 7 May 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 14 May 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 third 2 Oct 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 third 1 Apr 0%