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Auspicious

There is something almost comical about a horse rated 19 — a number so low that Nigel Tinkler, a trainer with decades of experience, said he had never seen anything like it. That was where Auspicious started, and it tells you everything about how little the racing world expected from this three-year-old when he lined up at Newcastle in September 2025. He won anyway, in a race that even his own trainer admitted was a poor one. But a win is a win, and sometimes that is all a horse needs to get started.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Awtaad
Mother
Kilbaha Lady
Owner
The Dapper Partnership
Rating
49

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
8
Career races
2
Wins
25%
Win rate
avg ~10%
37.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What made it more interesting was what jockey Alex Jary said afterwards — that Auspicious had been showing far more on the training gallops at home than he ever had on a racecourse. Some horses are like that. They take time to trust the whole circus of race day: the crowd, the noise, the pressure of the moment. When it clicked at Newcastle, it clicked for good.

Fast forward to this week, and Auspicious won again at Redcar — just one day ago — making it 2 wins from his last 6 races. His overall record now reads 2 wins and 3 places from 8 races, which works out at winning roughly 1 in every 4 times he races, or 25% of his career starts. For a horse who looked so unpromising early on that his official rating was barely in double figures, that is a quietly impressive turnaround. There is also a pleasing personal touch to the story: Auspicious is homebred, meaning he was bred by the people who own him, and his mother, Kilbaha Lady, was herself trained by Tinkler. He knows this family well.

Tinkler's yard at Langton in North Yorkshire has had 37 winners already this season, so this is a stable in decent form, and they have clearly been patient with a horse who needed time rather than pressure. The recent form figures — a win, then a fifth, a third, a seventh, a win, and before that a sixteenth — show a horse still finding his level, capable of big days but not yet consistent. At three years old, that is not unusual. The question now is whether the rating he carries will rise enough to make life harder, or whether there is still more improvement to come from a horse who, by his trainer's own admission, has always been better than his record suggested.

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Standard (all-weather)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 May
🏆 Won
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good · 15 runners
20 Apr
5th
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
11 Mar
3rd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
10 Feb
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
26 Sep
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
6 Sep
16th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 17 runners
18 Jul
7th
Nottingham
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
31 May
10th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Alex Jary Current Jockey
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 11 Mar 33.3%
Redcar
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 7 May 50%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Jul 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Sep 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 31 May 0%