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Atlantic Gamble

There's a horse here who clearly knows where it likes to run. Atlantic Gamble, a five-year-old trained by Paul John Gilligan out of Athenry in County Galway, has made Kempton Park something close to a second home — three wins from just six races there, which is a genuinely extraordinary return. For context, most horses go through their entire careers without winning at any track that reliably. Kempton is this horse's place, and when the ground is soft and heavy underfoot, things get even better: three wins from seven races in those conditions gives it a win rate of 43%, which is the kind of figure that makes a trainer's eyes light up.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Lightning Spear
Mother
One Pixel
Owner
Gamblers Syndicate
Rating
99

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
25
Career races
6
Wins
24%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Across a career of 25 races, Atlantic Gamble has won 6 times and placed in a further 9 — meaning it has finished in the money in nearly three-quarters of its outings. Overall, it wins roughly 1 in every 4 races. That's a solid record, and it tells you this is a horse that competes rather than makes up the numbers. It doesn't quite operate at the very top level — most of its races have been at Class 4, the fourth tier of British racing — but within that bracket it wins about 2 in every 7, which is respectable.

The partnership with jockey Brandon Wilkie is worth watching. In eight races together they've won three times — that's winning 38% of the time, or better than 1 in every 3 rides. That's a number that suggests the pair have found a rhythm that works.

The concern right now is form. Atlantic Gamble hasn't won in six races, with finishing positions of 6, 8, 7, 4, 7 and 6 — consistently mid-pack, nothing catching fire. The last victory came at Newbury in September 2024, nearly twenty months ago now. Horses can carry a blank run or two; twenty months is starting to ask questions. Paul John Gilligan's yard has sent out five winners this season, so the team is in form — the missing piece is simply getting this horse back to a track it loves, in the right conditions, with Wilkie in the saddle. If those boxes get ticked, the record suggests Atlantic Gamble is more than capable of reminding everyone what it can do.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 3 wins from 7 starts (43%)
Course specialist at Kempton Park: 3 wins from 6 starts (50%)
Effective partnership with Brandon Wilkie: 38% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 May
6th
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
10 Feb
7th
Limerick
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 14 runners
26 Jan
4th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 5 runners
11 Jan
7th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 25 runners
26 Dec
8th
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 21 runners
17 Oct
6th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 8 runners
24 Sep
9th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
13 Sep
11th
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 15 runners
24 Jul
3rd
Great Yarmouth
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 14 runners
25 Jun
3rd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
37.5%
Win rate
3/8
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Jack G Gilligan Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
James Smith
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
6 3 wins, 1 third, 2 other 25 Jun 50%
Newbury
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 21 Sep 50%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 24 Jul 50%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 30 Jun 50%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 other 26 Jan 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 2 other 17 Oct 0%
Limerick
Galloping
2 2 other 10 Feb 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 5 Dec 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 29 May 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 24 Sep 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 29 Apr 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 other 12 May 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 19 Jun 0%