Atlantic Gamble

This horse has a real preference for soft, muddy ground. Put it on a wet track and Atlantic Gamble becomes a different proposition: it has won 3 of 7 races on slow ground, a 43% win rate that stands out sharply against its overall record. It also runs best at distances between one mile and a furlong and one mile and two furlongs, winning 6 of 17 races over that stretch. More striking still is its course form at Kempton Park, where it has become almost a specialist, winning 3 of 6 races. That is a level of dominance worth noting.

The partnership with jockey Brandon Wilkie has yielded strong results. When the two team up, Atlantic Gamble wins at a 38% rate — 3 wins from 8 races together — which suggests they read each other well. Trainer Paul John Gilligan, based at Athenry in Co Galway, has built a yard sending out 5 winners this season, and Atlantic Gamble remains one of his working pieces.

The horse's form has dipped recently. It last won on 21 September 2024 at Newbury and has not crossed the line first in its last six races, most recently finishing sixth at a track seven days ago. It is typically competitive at Class 4 level, where it has won 2 of 7 races, but the current spell without a win suggests it may need softer ground and a return to a track where it feels at home — Kempton Park remains its fortress.