Assaranca

The figures tell a story of a horse that improves dramatically with the right conditions and the right partner. On fast, dry ground, Assaranca wins 2 out of every 5 races — a 40% win rate that stands out sharply against its overall record of 3 wins from 16 starts. Put it on wet or muddy ground and it simply doesn't show up the same way. More intriguingly, when jockey Joe Leavy rides, the horse wins a third of its races (2 wins from 6) compared to its 19% win rate overall. That's the kind of gap that hints at a genuine partnership — something trainers notice and riders rely on.

Richard Hannon's yard at Herridge has been prolific this season with 118 winners, which means Assaranca is one horse among many with strong support behind it. The fact that it has won in Class 5 company once from four attempts suggests it might be at or near its ceiling, but at three years old with improving form, there is likely more to come. A horse that loves the summer ground and goes best with a familiar jockey in the saddle is one worth watching when the conditions line up.