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Ascending

Ascending has spent the last three years proving that the original plan doesn't always survive contact with reality. Bought as a hurdler, the seven-year-old ran respectably over jumps but never seemed to enjoy it, so his trainer H De Bromhead made the switch back to Flat racing — a decision that has quietly paid off. The horse has won four of its 25 races, which works out to roughly one win in every six outings, and most importantly, it has found its sweet spot at distances between a mile and an eighth and a mile and a quarter, where it has won once from three races.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Awtaad
Mother
Midnight Martini
Trainer
H De Bromhead
Owner
C Jones
Rating
98

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
25
Career races
4
Wins
16%
Win rate
avg ~10%
48%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That single success at that distance came at the top level. On 17 June 2025, Ascending won a Class 2 race at Ascot, which matters because Class 2 races are among the best races run in Britain. De Bromhead's post-race comments tell you everything about how it happened: the trainer had wanted to run at a mile and a half but couldn't get into that race, so he dropped Ascending into the mile-and-a-quarter race instead — and it won anyway. That kind of flexibility and well-placed optimism is what separates good training from luck.

What's less encouraging is that Ascending hasn't won since. It last raced just a day ago and has had six runs without a victory in that stretch, finishing 4th, 6th, 10th, 7th, 6th, and 2nd. The recent second-place finish suggests it's still competitive, but there's a clear pattern here: wins are becoming rarer. At Class 4 level, where it typically races, Ascending has won only once from seven races — a 14% win rate. Its regular jockey, Rachael Blackmore, has ridden it six times without a win.

De Bromhead's November comments hint at where the horse is headed next. The trainer suggested giving it one more run on the Flat at Dundalk before switching Ascending back to hurdles for the winter, specifically mentioning a novice hurdle chase around Christmas. He noted the horse's jumping form was good, which suggests the trainer believes there may be better opportunities over obstacles than the horse is finding on the Flat right now. After 14 months without a win, that pivot back to what Ascending was originally bought for might be the right move.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
22 Aug
4th
York
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
6 Aug
6th
Leopardstown
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners
16 Jun
10th
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners
1 May
7th
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
28 Sep
6th
The Curragh
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 33 runners
23 Aug
2nd
York
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
17 Jun
🏆 Won
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
6 May
🏆 Won
Cork
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners
29 Nov
🏆 Won
Dundalk
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 7 runners
22 Oct
2nd
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Yielding · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
W J Lee
60%
Win rate
3/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Mr A Jones
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Leopardstown
Galloping
4 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 6 Aug 0%
Ascot
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 16 Jun 33.3%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 10 Jun 50%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 3 May 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 16 Sep 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 28 Sep 0%
York
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 22 Aug 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 win 6 May 100%
Dundalk
Galloping
1 1 win 29 Nov 100%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 second 5 Oct 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 30 Sep 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Feb 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Mar 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Aug 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 second 27 Sep 0%