The win came at Newcastle on 22 November 2025, and the recent form figures tell an encouraging story: since that victory, Aqua Bear has followed up with a second and a fourth, suggesting it has settled into a decent level of consistency. Only that ninth-place finish sticks out as one to forget. A win rate of roughly 1 in every 6 races is modest, but for a young horse still developing, the placed efforts matter just as much — they show it is competitive without yet being dominant.
The sweet spot in terms of distance appears to be between seven furlongs and a mile, where it has won 1 from 4 races — a 25% win rate, or one in four, which is a solid return at that trip. Finding the right distance for a young horse is half the battle, and Aqua Bear seems to have found its range.
Behind the scenes, trainer Ian Williams has had a strong season, sending out 96 winners from his Worcestershire yard. That is a serious number — it speaks to an operation that knows how to get horses ready to win, and Aqua Bear is part of a stable firing on all cylinders. Having raced just one day ago, this is a horse very much in the middle of its campaign, and with a young horse in form and a trainer in form, the next few weeks will be worth watching.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Galloping |
1 | 1 win | 22 Nov | 100% |
| Naas Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 24 Aug | 0% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 14 Sep | 0% |
| Ascot Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 8 May | 0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 13 Aug | 0% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 10 Oct | 0% |