Alessia Fernanda

The key to understanding her is distance. Between a mile and a furlong and a mile and two furlongs, she has won 3 of her 16 races at those trips — that's just under 1 in 5, which is a meaningfully better return than her overall record suggests. Horses often have a sweet spot, a distance where everything clicks, and for Alessia Fernanda, this is clearly it. Push her outside that range and the results thin out considerably.

Her recent form reads 1-7-4-8-9-3, which tells the story of a horse finding her way back to form after a difficult mid-sequence. The 8 and 9 finishes look rough, but she followed them with a third and then, most recently, a win at Southwell this week — so she arrives here in the best possible shape, with momentum behind her rather than question marks. That win came on 29 April 2026, making her a horse in current form rather than one chasing past glories.

She is trained by Declan Carroll at Malton in North Yorkshire, a yard that has sent out 22 winners already this season — a healthy, productive operation that clearly knows how to have horses ready to perform. Her regular partner in the saddle is Chris Hayes, who has ridden her in 9 of her 25 races and won once together — the same 1-in-9 ratio that reflects the horse's overall profile rather than any particular chemistry problem between the two.

What is perhaps most encouraging for anyone following her is that she has shown she can compete at Class 3 level — one step below the top tier — winning 1 from 4 races there, a 25% win rate that amounts to winning roughly 1 in every 4 attempts at that grade. For a horse with her overall numbers, that is punching at a solid level. Her first career win came at Cork in October 2024, and her most recent came just days ago. She is not a horse defined by her ceiling so much as by her consistency in the right conditions — get the distance right, and she is worth watching.