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Absolutely Doyen

There is a horse at Paul Nicholls' yard in Ditcheat, Somerset, that barely anyone had heard of six months ago — including, by his own admission, Nicholls himself. Absolutely Doyen arrived in the summer of 2025 as something of an unknown quantity, and has since quietly put together one of the most eye-catching runs of form in jump racing this season.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Doyen
Mother
Duffys Present
Owner
Ian Moore
Rating
135

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
10
Career races
5
Wins
50%
Win rate
avg ~10%
70%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The numbers tell a striking story. In 10 career races, this six-year-old has won 5 and placed in 7, giving it a 50% win rate — essentially a coin flip in its favour every time it lines up. More impressive still is the recent trajectory: four wins from its last six races, with the two blips being a third place and a finish down the field that looks increasingly like an anomaly. That sequence includes back-to-back wins in top-tier Class 2 races — one at Wincanton on Boxing Day 2025, and another at Musselburgh on 31 January 2026. These are not modest, low-key events. Class 2 races sit near the very top of British racing, and winning two of them in the space of five weeks is the kind of form that makes people start paying attention.

Nicholls has spoken about a horse that has genuinely transformed since arriving at his yard. He came in knowing little about him, but a settling-in period, improved jumping, and stepping up in distance have unlocked something. The trainer believes Absolutely Doyen is still getting better — physically and mentally — and has even suggested that his current official rating of 135 might end up looking like a bargain. In racing, when a trainer of Nicholls' stature hints that a horse may be "very well handicapped," that is worth noting. It means the horse's official weight allowance has not yet caught up with how good he actually is.

Nicholls' yard has sent out 92 winners this season alone, so this is not an operation easily impressed by modest form. The fact that Absolutely Doyen has earned a mention in those terms speaks volumes. He races next, and the question now is whether the form holds up as the competition gets stiffer. If Nicholls is right that there is more improvement to come, the answer could be very interesting indeed.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Strong overall win rate: wins 50% of races

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Good (firm-ish)
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Apr
16th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
12 Mar
8th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 24 runners
31 Jan
🏆 Won
Musselburgh
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 5 runners
26 Dec
🏆 Won
Wincanton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
22 Nov
🏆 Won
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
6 Nov
🏆 Won
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
18 Oct
🏆 Won
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 4 runners
12 Mar
2nd
Huntingdon
1m6f – 2m · Good · 11 runners
17 Feb
4th
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
7 Feb
2nd
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
100%
Win rate
2/2
Won / Rode
Freddie Keighley
100%
Win rate
2/2
Won / Rode
Harry Cobden Current Jockey
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 win 18 Oct 100%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 win 22 Nov 100%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 win 31 Jan 100%
Sedgefield
Sharp
1 1 win 6 Nov 100%
Wincanton
Galloping
1 1 win 26 Dec 100%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 second 12 Mar 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Feb 0%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Apr 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 second 7 Feb 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Mar 0%